{"id":3158,"date":"2013-05-23T06:59:45","date_gmt":"2013-05-23T06:59:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost\/cidac_eng\/index.php\/2013\/05\/23\/analysis-agenda-may-20th-2013\/"},"modified":"2016-01-10T12:08:58","modified_gmt":"2016-01-10T12:08:58","slug":"analysis-agenda-may-20th-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/analysis-agenda-may-20th-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis Agenda &#8211; May 20th 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As this awakening administration goes on, the federal government seems to successfully overcome the obstacles related from the wear of acts performed in public office, while opposition remains not knowing what hit it at the political scenario. The PAN case currently stands out ever since its national leader decided to remove his Senate coordinator, which only helped to highlight the party\u2019s internal struggles into the public sphere. In the meantime, as PRI leader, C\u00e9sar Camacho, stated, while others fight, his own party \u201cadds and articulates\u201d. The question is, if among these \u201cadds and articulations\u201d, there is more internal discord in opposition parties to come via the controversial Pact for Mexico and whether these parties shall be able to provide a safe environment for the reforms sought from within the Executive Power.<\/p>\n<p>1-Chronicle of a destitution foretold. The sacking of Senator Ernesto Cordero from the coordination of PAN\u2019s Parliamentary Group has several sharp edges (besides its own share of beneficiaries and affected individuals) in the eye of the beholder. The comparisons with 2008 are once again trigged, ever since a similar event occurred with the destitution of the then-leader of PAN Senators Branch, Santiago Creel, and the ulterior designation of the current party leader, Gustavo Madero. In both cases, the interest of having a coordinator more akin to the interests of the party\u2019s leadership led to the destitution of those politicians who were the frustrated presidential \u201cdauphins\u201d of Fox and Calder\u00f3n: Creel and Cordero, respectively. However, the conditions and possible consequences of the aforementioned decisions face different scenarios. Is it possible to aggravate a climate of political split when there is no longer a figure of internal cohesion as powerful as Calder\u00f3n?<\/p>\n<p>2-The National Development Plan (PND) 2013-2018: back to the future? On Monday, President Pe\u00f1a finally complied with his constitutional duty of presenting a \u201cdemocratically planned system of national development\u201d. In the aforementioned act, the Treasury Secretary Luis Videgaray placed an emphasis on the process of citizen consultations that would theoretically strengthen the PND\u2019s democratic legitimacy (whether that\u2019s something possible with just a 0.2% participation of the country\u2019s population). Likewise, in the main document, where the main five axis of the plan are presented, there are allusions to iconic PRI characters from the post-revolutionary period: L\u00f3pez Mateos (Mexico at Peace), L\u00e1zaro C\u00e1rdenas (Inclusive Mexico), Torres Bodet (Mexico with a Quality Education), Ortiz Mena (Prosperous Mexico) and Genaro Estrada (Mexico with a Global Responsibility). What kind of message does the government attempt to deliver with the PND? What does this blend between \u201ccitizen legitimacy\u201d and a yearning for past formulas mean?<\/p>\n<p>3-Rescuing Michoac\u00e1n (once again). It is impossible to forget how former President Calder\u00f3n placed a special emphasis on solving the major insecurity crisis that was the norm in his home state, Michoac\u00e1n. What is also not forgotten are the failure and ridicule committed during the process. Nowadays, in the light of the insecurity crisis, heightened by the problem with vigilante groups and the drug trafficking\u2019s different activities, motion or actions from authorities are not clearly distinguished from the ones done in the previous administration. The federal government maintained a reinforced presence of the army in the conflict zone, while voices such as the PAN Senator and former Secretary of Public Safety, Salvador Vega, asked for a disappearance of powers within the state (as if they weren\u2019t virtually gone). Is this the same strategy as the past administration? What would a really efficient solution be in order for the residents of Michoac\u00e1n to regain peace?<\/p>\n<p>4-Justice procurement as deterrence\u2026 of political nature. Last week, two cases of alleged corruption and misuse of public resources emerged: one, involving C\u00e9sar Nava, a former law director at PEMEX and former PAN leader and the other involving Andr\u00e9s Granier, former PRI Governor of Tabasco. Even though both cases would imply a major fraud involving public resources, its development might be different. Regardless of proving his responsibility in the aforementioned accusations, the case involving Nava appears to be the application of extemporaneous justice with a marked political bias; however, the case involving Granier is similar to others in which the evidence of embezzlement \u2013 as it is the case of Romero Deschamps, just to name an example \u2013 is irrefutable but justice is not rushed. What are the political implications for an eventual legal case against Nava, without forgetting that it\u2019s been promoted in U.S. criminal courts? Could Granier be PRI\u2019s first major politician to go to prison?<\/p>\n<p>5-The mysterious \u201cCore Shield\u201d. Before the official PND presentation act, the local Governors of the State of Mexico, Puebla, Hidalgo, Tlaxcala, Morelos, Guerrero as well as the mayor of Mexico City, got together with the federal government\u2019s security Cabinet. At the end of the meeting, the Interior Secretary hailed \u201cthe progress\u2026 in a real and effective coordination at the center of the Republic\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u201c, regarding security issues. According to CIDAC\u2019s 2012 Crime Rate Index, three of the seven entities would involve crime incidence ranging from serious to severe. At the same time, during the first three months of 2013, the State of Mexico had first-degree murder figures than can be compared to those of Chihuahua and Guerrero. Even though the fight against insecurity has an important element of building a positive perception, it cannot ultimately depend on it without concrete results. What are the strategies, both operative and politically, behind this \u201cCore Shield\u201d?<\/p>\n<p>Antonio De la Cuesta<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As this awakening administration goes on, the federal government seems to successfully overcome the obstacles related from the wear of acts performed in public office, while opposition remains not knowing what hit it at the political scenario. The PAN case currently stands out ever since its national leader decided to remove his Senate coordinator, which only helped to highlight the party\u2019s internal struggles into the public sphere. In the meantime, as PRI leader, C\u00e9sar Camacho, stated, while others fight, his own party \u201cadds and articulates\u201d. The question is, if among these \u201cadds and articulations\u201d, there is more internal discord in opposition parties to come via the controversial Pact for Mexico and whether these parties shall be able to provide a safe environment for the reforms sought from within the Executive Power.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4661,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[28],"class_list":["post-3158","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-weekly-political-analysis","tag-week-ahead"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3158","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3158"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3158\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4588,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3158\/revisions\/4588"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4661"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3158"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3158"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3158"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}