{"id":3143,"date":"2013-05-07T13:11:39","date_gmt":"2013-05-07T13:11:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost\/cidac_eng\/index.php\/2013\/05\/07\/analysis-agenda-may-7th-2013\/"},"modified":"2016-01-10T16:14:05","modified_gmt":"2016-01-10T16:14:05","slug":"analysis-agenda-may-7th-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/analysis-agenda-may-7th-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis Agenda &#8211; May 7th, 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With the conclusion of the second regular session of the 62nd Legislature, a highly productive season at the Mexican Congress came to an end. The Legislative Power moved towards an implementation of bills and reforms as well as the presentation of the first outlines of laws that could be discussed and approved as of next September. In the meantime, a new stage of great political intensity is unfolding: the start and development of political campaigns throughout 14 states for the renewal of local Congresses, municipal presidencies, and a governorship (Baja California). However, it is likely that the coming political-partisan disputes will have little resonance on a national level and will remain in the \u201cdarkness\u201d at the local level. The Federal Government will be the most interested in avoiding that the harmonious \u201cMexico at peace\u201d image should be endangered because of little electoral \u201chells\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>1-PGR under fire. For some weeks, the Attorney\u2019s General Office has taken decisions that have called into question several actions of its predecessors (the cases of General \u00c1ngeles Dauahare, former Assistant Attorney Ram\u00edrez Mandujano, the controversy on protected witnesses and the arraigo, better known as pre-charge detention). Now, suggestions within the institution\u2019s restructuration plan that Attorney General Murillo Karam sent to the Senate are added to the aforementioned issue. Among other things, Murillo discusses inefficiency, nepotism, lack of professionalization and other ills that are not a specific administration\u2019s fault but have always been the leitmotif of justice procurement in Mexico. What would PGR need to become an efficient and useful institution? Will its proposed restructuration be able to transcend the political burden?<\/p>\n<p>2-PRD\u2019s 24th anniversary: how does future looks like? Every May the 5th, one more year is commemorated since several left-wing currents, with or without a political party and brought together upon a breakaway group of PRI, founded PRD. There have been almost no anniversaries in which the words \u201cdivision\u201d, \u201crupture\u201d or \u201ccrisis\u201d have not been uttered. Even though the historical diversity of Mexican left makes it unstable, there is a current factor that enhances its imbalances: the Pact for Mexico. This will be heightened when the discussion of the tax and energy reforms take place, since they are delicate issues and have almost no sympathy from the left. Will PRD find a clear political project able to facilitate its cohesion or will it end up doing it supported on a single person\u2019s leadership? How will it be affected by the eventual constitution of MORENA as a political party?<\/p>\n<p>3-The migration issue\u2026 in Mexico. Within the framework of the U.S. Senate\u2019s vote on immigration reform, it is worth to reflect upon the migrants\u2019 situation in Mexico. It is not a minor issue for known reasons, but its impact could escalate if passerbies face more difficulties to arrive to the USA, with an upcoming border security increase, which would be prescribed in the U.S. reform. The Mexican Institute on Migration just reported that between 2010 and the first half of 2013, 239,252 migrants have been deported; this represented an annual cost of one billion pesos. Beyond its evident human rights implications, is it worth that Mexico is reviewing its migration policy? What would the economic and security costs be if it\u2019s not done soon?<\/p>\n<p>4-The free-trade agreement negotiations between the United States and the European Union: an alert for Mexico. During his brief State visit to Mexico, U.S. President Barack Obama gave a simple speech where he mentioned that, relating to trade issues, USA has its attention on both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. Mexico is already included in the plans of the first project (Trans-Pacific Partnership). Nevertheless, it seems \u2013 at least for the moment \u2013 to not be part of the second one. According to a study from the Ifo Institute in Munich, if countries like Mexico didn\u2019t participate in an eventual trade agreement between Washington and Brussels, the adverse economic effect would be devastating. Even without an FTA, both entities already have a highly integrated relationship, with commercial transactions valued in one billion dollars and investments that double that numbers. What does Mexico need to take advantage of this and not be left behind?<\/p>\n<p>5-The criticism of the Catholic Church on the government\u2019s rhetoric. In an editorial published in the weekly newspaper \u201cDesde la fe\u201d (\u201cFrom faith\u201d, in Spanish), the Archbishop Primate of Mexico dismissed the current administration as hesitating when applying the rule of law. In the same context, it took credibility away from the government\u2019s rhetoric that says no one is above the law, as well as the false perception of a country that\u2019s about to reach peace. In the last month, the Catholic media have increased their criticism against the Federal Government on the matter of security. Will the \u201choneymoon\u201d between Catholic Church and the current administration be the first one to end? At what point is it beneficial that an institution as powerful and influential as the Catholic Church Is warning that the country is on the brink of social chaos? What are their intentions?<\/p>\n<p>Antonio De la Cuesta<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With the conclusion of the second regular session of the 62nd<br \/>\nLegislature, a highly productive season at the Mexican Congress came to<br \/>\nan end. The Legislative Power moved towards an implementation of bills<br \/>\nand reforms as well as the presentation of the first outlines of laws<br \/>\nthat could be discussed and approved as of next September. In the<br \/>\nmeantime, a new stage of great political intensity is unfolding: the<br \/>\nstart and development of political campaigns throughout 14 states for<br \/>\nthe renewal of local Congresses, municipal presidencies, and a<br \/>\ngovernorship (Baja California). However, it is likely that the coming<br \/>\npolitical-partisan disputes will have little resonance on a national<br \/>\nlevel and will remain in the \u201cdarkness\u201d at the local level. The Federal<br \/>\nGovernment will be the most interested in avoiding that the harmonious<br \/>\n\u201cMexico at peace\u201d image should be endangered because of little electoral<br \/>\n \u201chells\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4661,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[28],"class_list":["post-3143","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-weekly-political-analysis","tag-week-ahead"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3143","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3143"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3143\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4608,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3143\/revisions\/4608"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4661"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3143"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3143"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cidacmx.org\/eng\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3143"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}